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CHPC New York

Home Price Index

sinking house

View latest chart

We are continuously tracking the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index, which examines the rise and fall of single family home prices in 20 major metropolitan areas of the United States and have designed our own chart to offer a useful analysis of the data as soon as it is released each month.

The chart is designed to track single family home prices in the New York City area, Las Vegas, Los Angeles and the Case Shiller Index of the 10 major metropolitan areas. We also include a trend line that shows how the index for the 10 major metro areas would have changed if home prices had appreciated at the historically expected 5% (See this Freddie Mac analysis of long term home price trends Whither Home Values) . Our “normal” trend line starts at January 1993 and increases prices annually at 5%.

You can read details of the elements of the index here.

APA Panel Discussion with Harold Shultz

Harold Shultz is taking part in a panel discussion organized by the APA New York Chapter on February 16 2012, entitled, Revisiting the Growing Impact of the Mortgage and Credit Crisis on New York City.

Last year’s mortgage crisis panel discussion revealed that NYC neighborhoods continue to be negatively impacted by  foreclosures and overleveraged multifamily properties.

This session Max Weselcouch will present this year’s findings of the State of New York City’s Housing and Neighborhoods, an annual study conducted by the NYU Furman Center for Real Estate that reviews the impact of foreclosures on New York City neighborhoods.  She will… Read more...

Not Yet the Bottom; Housing Prices Decline Again

The Case Shiller Index for single family houses continues its decline. The frequently forecasted “bottom of the housing market” has, apparently, not yet arrived. All metro areas in the US, with the exception of Phoenix, experienced a decline from October 2011 to November 2011 in the non-seasonally adjusted index. Some economists now predict the market bottom by the spring of 2012.

Home Price Index Declines Again in October 2011

The October 2011 Case Shiller Index showed continuing declines in home prices for the national scene and for the New York Metro area. Historically low interest rates have yet to ignite an upward trend in house prices. Most analysts still predict a positive trend for 2012.

Case Shiller National Index Declines for September

The release of the Case Shiller Home Price Index shows a 1.2% decline in the seasonally adjusted index for the month to month change from August to September 2011 and a trivial increase of 0.1% in the unadjusted number. The New York metro area also showed a trivial improvement of 0.2% in the seasonally adjusted number and 0.1% in the non adjusted number. Nationally these results bring us back to home price levels of approximately early 2003 and brings New York back to about mid 2004.

Case Shiller Flat for August

The non-seasonally adjusted Case Shiller index, which we use in these posts, shows small increases in the markets that we track, with the continuing exception of  Las Vegas. However the seasonally adjusted numbers show a small decline. Essentially the housing market is flat. Most analysts don’t expect real price increases until the job market improves.

Home Price Index Up for July

The Case Shiller unadjusted home price index showed another small increase for July. However analysts, citing declining sales volume over the summer, warn that this trend will not continue and that we will likely return to static or declining prices.